HTMA

xkcd 1205 inverted (or, what if it wasn't so hard to be FAIR)

A thought experiment around process automation, monte carlo simulations, communicating uncertainty to executive audiences, and the utility of accuracy over precision.

I was wrong (or: five things I learned from Hubbard in 2016)

Unlike earthquakes and lightning strikes, for which unimpeachable data exists, information security trends suffer from underreporting, environmental factors and subjectivity that call into question any sort of estimate being done